The 30 facts every quant candidate should know cold — the ones that turn calculator-grade problems into 30-second mental arithmetic. Bookmark this; revisit the night before any quant interview.
#21 Birthday#16 Pascal
Eyeball it: $n > 23 \Rightarrow P > 0.5$. For $n = 50$, the count of pairs is $\binom{50}{2} = 1225$.
$P(\text{some collision}) = 1 - \left(\frac{364}{365}\right)^{1225} \approx 1 - e^{-1225/365} \approx 1 - e^{-3.36} \approx 0.965$.
So about 97%. The cheat sheet lets you skip the calculator entirely — small-x exponential approximation from fact #25 plus the $1/e$ memo from fact #1.
#15 Poisson#1 1/e
Linearity: $E[X] = \sum_{i=1}^{n} P(\text{card } i \text{ fixed}) = n \cdot \frac{1}{n} = 1$.
Variance also equals 1; for any moderate $n$ the count converges fast to $\text{Poisson}(1)$. So $P(\text{no fixed points}) \approx 1/e \approx 0.368$ — which is the derangement formula from fact #23.
The cheat sheet collapses three identities (linearity, Poisson limit, $1/e$) into one second of recognition.
#5 Geometric series#11 Binomial
Probability of reaching at least $k$ heads is $(1/2)^k$. Each contributes $\$1$, so by linearity:
$E[\text{payoff}] = \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \left(\tfrac{1}{2}\right)^k = \frac{1/2}{1 - 1/2} = 1.$
Fair price: $1. Fact #5 (geometric series sum) + fact #11 (binomial mean = $np$, here $n$-flip Bernoullis cascade) collapses an infinite-state EV (Expected Value) into one line.
Bug, wording issue, or polish suggestion — all go straight into the dogfood backlog.