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Vasicek short rate: the first closed-form bond price

Pick one number (today's overnight rate) and an SDE; the entire yield curve falls out as a closed-form expectation.

Method · Vasicek Short Rate
Intro

Vasicek (1977) was the first short-rate model to produce a closed-form bond price. Take the same Ornstein-Uhlenbeck SDE you used for pairs-trade spread reversion, reinterpret $r_t$ as the instantaneous interest rate, and the zero-coupon bond price $P(t,T)$ becomes an affine function of $r_t$ — with coefficients that are themselves closed forms in the OU parameters. The model has one famous flaw (Gaussian dynamics admit negative rates), but the affine machinery it pioneered is the parent of every short-rate model in production today.

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